Editor’s note:  This is Stephen Arnold’s commentary on his first post,
“The Future of Search? It’s here.” and the comments that he received.

By Stephen Arnold
August 14, 2008

Yesterday I contributed a short essay about the future of search. I thought I was being realistic for the readers of AltSearchEngines.com, a darn good Web log in my opinion. I wanted to be more frisky than the contributions from SearchEngineLand.com and Hakia.com too. I’m not an academic, and I’m not in the search engine business. I do competitive technical analysis for a living. Search is a side interest, and prior to my writing the Enterprise Search Report, no one had taken a comprehensive look at a couple dozen of the major vendors. I now have profiles on 52 companies, and I’m adding a new one in the next few days. I don’t pay much attention to the university information retrieval community because I’m not smart enough to figure out the equations any more.

From the number of positive and negative responses that have flowed to me, I know I wasn’t clear about my focus on behind the firewall search and Google’s enterprise activities. This short post is designed to put my “layer cake” image into context. If you want to read the original essay on AltSearchEngines.com, click here. To refresh your memory, here’s the diagram, which in one form or another I have been using in my lectures for more than a decade. I’m a lousy teacher, and I make mistakes. But I have a wealth of hands on experience, and I have the research under my belt from creating and maintaining the 52 profiles of companies that are engaged in commercial search, content processing, and text analytics.

I’ve been through many search revolutions, and this diagram explains how I perceive those innovations. Furthermore, the diagram makes clear a point that many people do not fully understand until the bills come in the mail. Over time search gets more expensive. A lot more expensive. The reason is that each “layer” is not necessarily a system from a single vendor. The layers show that an organization rarely rips and replaces existing search technology. So, no matter how lousy a system, there will be two or three or maybe a thousand people who love the old system. But there may be one person or 10,000 who want different functionality. The easy path for most organizations is to buy another search solution or buy an “add in” or “add on” that in theory brings the old system closer to the needs of new users or different business needs.

Now here’s the problem:

Please read the entire article HERE on Stephen Arnold’s blog, “Beyond Search.”

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